Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.276231 9.186232 10.179225 11.347371 12.689202 14.188492 15.999095
2025-11-30 6.971991 8.161262 9.549912 11.305778 13.487582 16.137108 19.640763
2025-12-07 6.018509 7.288316 8.837280 10.891705 13.584409 17.050103 21.942829
2025-12-14 5.273026 6.551432 8.163741 10.382900 13.416729 17.508835 23.606531
2025-12-21 4.797717 6.094914 7.779231 10.174825 13.576363 18.365458 25.871093
2025-12-28 4.806422 6.261141 8.213510 11.097401 15.378126 21.721228 32.293208
2026-01-04 4.586994 6.092269 8.165133 11.319697 16.171550 23.666783 36.816081
2026-01-11 4.249369 5.728961 7.807551 11.045706 16.168632 24.352708 39.327204
2026-01-18 4.106152 5.628488 7.815232 11.312733 17.026473 26.514708 44.754551
2026-01-25 3.856862 5.354664 7.543459 11.116842 17.104184 27.359051 47.880394
2026-02-01 3.645742 5.122620 7.316126 10.967803 17.236826 28.301542 51.338196
2026-02-08 3.450163 4.901220 7.088667 10.796540 17.307861 29.130174 54.694858
2026-02-15 3.240150 4.652167 6.811867 10.538165 17.230349 29.730401 57.822126
2026-02-22 3.091705 4.490144 6.662819 10.484399 17.518668 31.077195 62.898924
2026-03-01 2.890382 4.233131 6.343435 10.108605 17.167471 31.099687 64.902464
2026-03-08 2.688260 3.964440 5.989295 9.645051 16.604805 30.618540 65.595848
2026-03-15 2.554739 3.799197 5.796638 9.455357 16.553202 31.202645 69.087265
2026-03-22 2.619223 3.958225 6.155795 10.295775 18.630221 36.700543 86.930336
2026-03-29 2.566059 3.919078 6.172535 10.498019 19.426015 39.447263 97.989036
2026-04-05 2.442085 3.754802 5.961663 10.248729 19.240940 39.854028 102.179326
2026-04-12 2.404267 3.734541 6.003057 10.491684 20.144051 43.043774 116.070760
2026-04-19 2.304521 3.603138 5.838129 10.313466 20.095096 43.833946 122.294209
2026-04-26 2.217234 3.489464 5.699327 10.177821 20.129106 44.846314 129.626752